Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.817177 10.391785 12.124320 14.166344 16.501282 19.081631 22.142618
2025-01-19 6.445681 8.474160 10.917152 14.052618 17.944084 22.587328 28.516118
2025-01-26 5.322106 7.652384 10.671334 14.815644 20.295193 27.223523 36.566385
2025-02-02 4.494258 6.985221 10.421129 15.413087 22.368430 31.587859 44.577018
2025-02-09 3.913236 6.516825 10.311087 16.100320 24.533939 36.164228 53.155688
2025-02-16 3.284806 5.847896 9.785017 16.076253 25.629144 39.291294 59.921518
2025-02-23 2.685679 5.107646 9.024789 15.569707 25.908515 41.210798 65.041344
2025-03-02 2.185618 4.435626 8.262022 14.935424 25.880281 42.610080 69.422358
2025-03-09 1.889298 4.064864 7.933823 14.940787 26.813901 45.473325 76.120507
2025-03-16 1.650930 3.757132 7.665703 15.000385 27.812779 48.471597 83.174967
2025-03-23 1.437665 3.458713 7.369265 14.965028 28.627194 51.201544 89.939463
2025-03-30 1.194452 3.052210 6.811970 14.387530 28.439526 52.258819 94.047086
2025-04-06 1.042059 2.817920 6.565304 14.374949 29.273476 55.117799 101.368506
2025-04-13 0.908636 2.600756 6.322879 14.341598 30.063332 57.952107 108.824495
2025-04-20 0.862529 2.583346 6.495163 15.144807 32.468566 63.734905 121.612961
2025-04-27 0.805337 2.527069 6.574388 15.762278 34.561660 69.081648 133.922901
2025-05-04 0.759142 2.490323 6.691044 16.465739 36.868531 74.937050 147.414948
2025-05-11 0.670991 2.321397 6.479895 16.442044 37.726550 78.185950 156.427997
2025-05-18 0.566848 2.082771 6.067195 15.925719 37.536567 79.461112 161.926543
2025-05-25 0.471729 1.846419 5.621817 15.278878 37.009859 80.046090 166.161228
2025-06-01 0.419510 1.731077 5.466313 15.284371 37.852958 83.298920 175.497214
2025-06-08 0.375723 1.632623 5.340481 15.345168 38.815107 86.830142 185.518198
2025-06-15 0.333448 1.528383 5.182842 15.309106 39.556285 89.955288 194.900720